Are the rich fleeing Mamdani’s Manhattan? Not according to the data. - SnS JRNL

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Are the rich fleeing Mamdani’s Manhattan? Not according to the data.

Are the rich fleeing Mamdani's Manhattan? Not according to the data.

NEW YORK − Margaret Flint was 18 when she first moved to Manhattan from her childhood home in Chevy Chase, Maryland, in 1970.

She'd just enrolled at Barnard College, and for about four years, she shared an apartment with a classmate on the Upper West Side. While living in Manhattan, she went to law school and got married. She and her husband moved to the suburbs in the early 1990s.

On Nov. 4, the dayNew York City elected a new mayor, Flint signed a contract to buy a two-bedroom apartment for $1.4 million in the same building she had called home as a Barnard student.

New York Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani arrives for a press conference at City Hall Park on Nov. 20, 2025 in New York. US President Donald Trump said he will host New York's Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani for a meeting Friday, Nov. 21, 2025 after fiercely attacking the 34-year-old self-described Democratic Socialist during his recent campaign. <p style=Zohran Mamdani (D-NY) was elected Mayor of New York on Nov. 4, 2025. He was born in Uganda and moved to New York City with his family at the age of 7. 

He drew historic numbers of South Asian and Muslim voters in the 2025 New York City election to vote for the first time. 

Pictured here, Mamdani waves on stage after winning the 2025 New York City Mayoral race, defeating Andrew Cuomo and Curtis Sliwa.

" style="max-width:100%; height:auto; border-radius:6px; margin:10px 0;" loading="lazy" /> New York Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani (R) and New York City Police Commissioner Jessica Tisch speaks with reporters after their visit to the New York City Police Memorial on Nov. 19, 2025. New York Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani, right, and New York City Police Commissioner Jessica Tisch visit the New York City Police Memorial, on Nov. 19, 2025 in New York City. Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani announced that he has chosen to keep Jessica Tisch as New York City Police Commissioner. New York City Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani interacts with Pre-K students at Friends of Crown Heights Education Center on Nov. 13, 2025 in the Flatbush neighborhood of the Brooklyn borough in New York City. Mamdani along with Assemblymember Monique Chandler-Waterman and Councilmember Rita Joseph met with educators and visited with young students, speaking about his campaign promise of free care for children starting at 6 weeks old. New York Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani serves meals during a Veterans Day event on Nov. 11, 2025, in the Bronx borough. <p style=Zohran Mamdani met his wife, Rama Duwaji, on the dating app Hinge, a rival to Tinder and Bumble. The pair got married in early 2025.

Duwaji is a Syrian-American illustrator and animator. After the election of Mamdani as New York City Mayor, she is now the city's first Gen Z first lady. 

" style="max-width:100%; height:auto; border-radius:6px; margin:10px 0;" loading="lazy" /> Supporters attend the election watch party for New York City Democratic mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani at the Brooklyn Paramount on Nov. 4, 2025 in the Brooklyn borough of New York City. Mamdani defeated Independent candidate Andrew Cuomo and Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa in the closely watched election for New York City mayor. <p style=Democratic candidate Zohran Mamdani participates in the second New York City mayoral debate with Independent candidate and former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo and Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa at LaGuardia Performing Arts Center at LaGuardia Community College in Long Island City, Queens, New York, on Oct. 22, 2025.

He drew historic numbers of South Asian and Muslim voters in the 2025 New York City election to vote for the first time. 

" style="max-width:100%; height:auto; border-radius:6px; margin:10px 0;" loading="lazy" /> Democratic Mayoral Candidate Zohran Mamdani and his wife, Rama Duwaji, votes at The Frank Sinatra School of the Arts on Nov. 4, 2025 in the Queens borough of New York City. Voters in NYC are voting for who will be replacing Mayor Eric Adams between the front runner New York Mayoral Candidate Zohran Mamdani and New York City mayoral candidate Andrew Cuomo and Republican mayoral candidate Curtis Sliwa. More than 735,000 people have voted early, according to the Board of Elections, more than four times as many as in the 2021 contest. This election also has other city offices on the ballot, as well as six proposals. New York City mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani pauses while speaking about Islamophobia outside of the Islamic Cultural Center of the Bronx in New York City on Oct. 24, 2025, New Yorkers will cast their votes for mayor on November 4, 2025. Mamdani, the Democratic candidate, is the current frontrunner ahead of former New York Governor and independent candidate Andrew Cuomo and Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa. (L-R) New York mayoral candidate, State Rep. Zohran Mamdani (D-NY) stands with his mother Mira Nair, and father Mahmood Mamdani as they celebrate during an election night gathering at The Greats of Craft LIC on June 24, 2025, in the Long Island City neighborhood of the Queens borough in New York City. Mamdani was announced as the winner of the Democratic nomination for mayor in a crowded field in the City's mayoral primary to choose a successor to Mayor Eric Adams, who is running for re-election on an independent ticket. (L-R) Mira Nair, New York mayoral candidate, State Rep. Zohran Mamdani (D-NY), Rama Duwaji and Mahmood Mamdani celebrate on stage during an election night gathering at The Greats of Craft LIC on June 24, 2025 in the Long Island City neighborhood of the Queens borough in New York City. Mamdani was announced as the winner of the Democratic nomination for mayor in a crowded field in the City's mayoral primary to choose a successor to Mayor Eric Adams, who is running for re-election on an independent ticket. Democratic mayoral candidates Andrew Cuomo (L), and Zohran Mamdani (2R), present arguments as Whitney Tilson (2L) and Michael Blake (R) look on during a Democratic mayoral primary debate, at NBC's 30 Rockefeller Center studios in New York on June 4, 2025. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) speaks as New York mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani listens during the Fighting Oligarchy town hall at the Leonard & Claire Tow Center for the Performing Artson Sept. 6, 2025 in New York City. Mamdani joined Sanders at his New York town hall after marching with union members in Manhattan's Labor Day parade. Sanders, an early backer of Mamdani's primary bid, has staged 34 rallies in 20 states since launching his New York mayoral candidate, State Rep. Zohran Mamdani (D-NY) rides the subway as he prepares to head to Albany on March 24, 2025 in New York City. Mamdani announced that he is halting fundraising efforts after his campaign raised over $8 million, the spending cap for the upcoming June primary. Director Mira Nair and Music Supervisor Zohran Mamdani attend the Gala Screening of Disney's 'Queen Of Katwe' during the 60th BFI London Film Festival at Odeon Leicester Square on Oct. 9, 2016, in London. (L-R) Tendo Nagenda, Lupita Nyong'o, David Oyelowo, director Mira Nair and Zohran Mamdani attend the Gala Screening of Disney's 'Queen Of Katwe' during the 60th BFI London Film Festival at Odeon Leicester Square on Oct. 9, 2016, in London. (L-R) Music supervisor Zohran Kwame Mamdani, Director Mira Nair, Mahmood Mamdani and Nishant Tharani arrive at the world premiere of Disney's (L-R) Nishant Tharani, Director Mira Nair and music supervisor Zohran Kwame Mamdani arrive at the world premiere of Disney's

Meet Zohran Mamdani, New York City Mayor-elect

That night, thecity elected 34-year-old Zohran Mamdani, a member of theDemocratic Socialists of Americaand New York's firstMuslim and South Asian mayor.

Mamdani, whomPresident Donald Trumphas derided as a "Liddle' Communist," campaigned on the promise of raising taxes on corporations and those earning more $1 million per year to pay for free buses and universal childcare. He also previously advocated for defunding the police, which he abandoned during the mayoral campaign. Mamdani, who has pledged to protect Jewish New Yorkers against hate crimes, also drew criticism for his anti-Zionist views and history of pro-Palestinian activism.

Mamdani's victory in the June Democratic primarywas a strong indication that he would prevail in the general election in the overwhelmingly Democratic city. Soonnews reportsquoted real estate agents in Florida and Connecticut claiming wealthy New Yorkers were looking to flee the metropolis.

Facebook Moms' groups in the city's wealthiestenclaves like the Upper East Sideare full of nervous posts about the city's fate. Would the rich flee? Would crime increase?

However, most people in the Facebook groups indicated they were not moving anywher. And the chatter did not give Flint any pause before she signed on the dotted line.

New York City Mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani (R) celebrates alongside his wife Rama Duwaji (L) during an election night event at the Brooklyn Paramount Theater in Brooklyn, New York on November 4, 2025. New Yorkers elected leftist Zohran Mamdani as their next mayor Nov. 4, 2025, broadcasters projected, on a day of key local ballots across the country offering the first electoral judgement of Donald Trump's tumultuous second White House term.

"People are out of their minds if they think they have to leave the city," Flint, 73, said. "I agree with his policies, and I think that New York should be a place where all sorts of people can live and want to live. And that means that everybody has to pay their fair share."

Flint is not the only affluent person still betting on New York.

600 West 111 Street, New York

A 'false narrative': 'If people were fleeing the city, prices would be falling

AfterMamdani became a household name following his primary winin June, Manhattan rental prices increased year-over-year at twice the rate of inflation. The rate of increase was even higher in the luxury rental market, according to Jonathan Miller, the president of Miller Samuel Real Estate Appraisers & Consultants, and author of the Elliman report.

The overall median rent went up 7.1% to $4,600 from October 2024 to October 2025. The luxury market median rent saw a 20% increase in the same period, going up to $11,995. High earners were undeterred by Mamdani's wide lead in the general election polls through the summer and fall.

The median sales price went up to $1.18 million, a 5.8% year-over-year increase in the third quarter, which is from July to September. In the luxury market, sales prices went up 2.8%. And inventory actually fell 16% in the luxury market from October 2024 to October 2025, indicating that there is no flood of New Yorkers selling their homes and leaving town.

"Sales are rising faster than supply which is why median prices went up 5.8%. If sales are rising faster than inventory, prices generally go up," said Miller. "So if people were fleeing the city, prices would be falling."

The reasons for the increase in sales can be attributed in large part to overall gains in the stock market, the expectations of big Wall Street bonuses and declining mortgage rates.

Mortgage rates for the week ending Nov. 20 averaged 6.2% for a 30-year conventional, down from 6.8% during the same time last year, according to data from Freddie Mac.

"I look at evidence-based data as opposed to anecdotes because the plural of anecdotal is not data, it's just more anecdotes," he said, describing the exodus-from-New York plotline as a "false narrative."

After months of criticizing Mamdani, Trump, a second-generation real estate developer who owns several properties in New York, seemed eager to maintain his ties to the Big Apple after meeting the young politician in the White House on Nov. 21.

During ajoint appearance at the Oval Office, Trump was asked by a reporter if he'd be comfortable living in Mamdani's New York.

"Yeah, I would, I really would, especially after the meeting," said Trump. "We agree on a lot more than I would have thought. I want him to do a great job, and we'll help him do a great job."

600 West 111 Street, New York

Richest New Yorkers far less likely to leave than working and middle-class New Yorkers

The data also supports the conclusions of a 2023 report from the Fiscal Policy Institute, which found that the richest New Yorkers are far less likely to move out of New York than working and middle-class New Yorkers in normal, non-pandemic years.

Most high-earner migration during COVID-19 was due to city dwellers who could work from home and were looking for more space, rather than tax-related reasons.

In fact, the report found that high earning New Yorkers move out of New York State at one-quarter the rate of the rest of the population during typical years.

And when New York's high earners do move, they are more likely to move to other relatively high tax states such as New Jersey and Connecticut.

Ann Cutbill Lenane

Ann Cutbill Lenane, an agent for Douglas Elliman, who specializes in the luxury market, said discussions around the potential increase in taxes have cropped up here and there.

"They are talking about it, but they're not saying, 'oh my gosh, I'm not signing this contract,'" said Lenane, who has 40 years of experience in Manhattan and has done $2 billion in sales.

Trump tariffs a bigger factor in buyer hesitancy in New York City

Lenane says she saw bigger buyer hesitancy around Trump's tariffs raising the cost of construction or renovation as raw materials like lumber are often imported.

"What we're having harder time with is apartments that need work because of tariffs and not really having a good sense of what a renovation is going to cost," she said. "They are also worried about the timeframe and I'm finding that to be the biggest challenge."

Matthew Bizzarro has sold apartments in New York city by more than 23 years

Matthew Bizzarro, who has more than 23 years of experience selling homes in New York City, echoed Lenane's concern around tariffs.

He said he lost five contracts the week thatTrump announced global tariffson all imports in April because of the uncertainty in the market.

Did any contracts fall through during election week?

"Zero," he said.

Bizzarro said he's seen an exodus before, but this isn't one.

During COVID, he ended up opening an office in Westchester County as people began looking to decamp from the city.

"At one point, I had a hundred listings during COVID, from people just being like, 'just sell it', he said.

None of that is happening now.

"We have 74 contracts right now," he said. From Nov. 1 to Nov. 15, his contract volume is up 32% compared to the same period last year, he said.

Some people who might be sitting on the sidelines are investors who buy building with five to 10 units, he said.

"People who buy apartment buildings want to see if the rent freezes will go into effect," he said, referring to Mamdani's campaign pledge to freeze rents in rent-stabilized apartments. "No one's going to buy a building if you can't make money on it."

A concern about possible increase in crime and loss of services

Jacob Goldman, a Manhattan-based realtor, said he has received a few calls from people concerned about Mamdani and who were thinking of selling.

Jacob Goldman, a real estate agent in New York City

"But only very few people have done that. There's not a mass exodus right now," he said. "The thing to watch is how will people react to his economic policies. I think it's safe to assume that he's not attracting businesses to New York."

Josie Lee, 59, the owner of a one-bedroom home on the Lower East Side said Mamdani's election was one of the many factors that played into her listing her apartment this summer.

Josie Lee sold her apartment on the Lower East Side in the second week of November, 2025

She signed a contract on her 750-square-foot apartment just after the election. The buyer is a New Yorker in his 30s.

Lee, who works in marketing and communications, said she is close to retirement and had been considering a move to a place that would have lush greenery and some more living space.

But Mamdani's primary win persuaded her to speed up the process.

She said she was worried about a possible increase in crime, especially given Mamdani's past rhetoric around defunding the police. She said she fears companies would move away, eroding the tax base and burdening the city residents.

"You keep doing that to the tax base of the city, then it's going run out of money," she said. "Then it creates a cycle of 'we don't have enough money, let's cut services.'"

Lee is now moving to Fishkill, a small city located on the Hudson River, about 90 minutes north of Manhattan.

She said she can still easily go to the city to catch shows, visit museums and meet up with friends.

New York is 'resilient': Buzz around an exodus is a 'lot of talk'

Jill Prink, an urban landscape designer, who has lived in Manhattan for 25 years, will be closing on her first New York City apartment in the next few weeks.

Jill Prink will be closing on an apartment in Manhattan in December, 2025

She said the election of the new mayor did not factor into her decision, adding that New York and New Yorkers are "resilient."

Prink said she was excited about renovating her one-bedroom apartment and moving in.

As far as the buzz about people looking to move, she said she is not convinced.

"I view it as a lot of talk," she said. "It's very diverse and international here and people from all over come and live here. If there's some people who don't want, there will be others who do want to be in the city."

Swapna Venugopal Ramaswamy is a White House correspondent for USA TODAY.You can follow her on X @SwapnaVenugopal

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY:Rich aren't fleeing Zohran Mamdani's NYC. Price and demand are up.